Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.