Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.