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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Oxford United |
24.32% ( 0.02) | 24.07% ( 0.01) | 51.61% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.07% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.59% ( -0.02) | 47.41% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.37% ( -0.02) | 69.63% ( 0.02) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.24% ( -0) | 33.76% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.57% ( -0) | 70.42% ( -0) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.63% ( -0.02) | 18.37% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.51% ( -0.03) | 49.49% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.19% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.66% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.32% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.03% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 51.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 29 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 11 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 13 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 5 |
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