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League One
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Oxford United

Burton Albion
0 - 4
Oxford Utd


Powell (50'), Brayford (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harris (24', 57'), Murphy (62'), Henry (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-3 Barnsley
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Fleetwood
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 0-2 Oxford United

 It is difficult to back Burton at the moment due to their struggles, but the same cannot be said for Oxford, who are pushing for a top-six spot. The visitors were excellent against a struggling Fleetwood last time out, and we are expecting them to put another three points on the board this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawOxford United
24.32% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 24.07% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 51.61% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.07% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)47.41% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)69.63% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)33.76% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.57% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.42% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)18.37% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.51% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)49.49% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 24.32%
    Oxford United 51.6%
    Draw 24.07%
Burton AlbionDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 6.73% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 3.66% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 24.32%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-3 @ 5.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 5.03% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 51.6%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Oxford Utd

Burton Albion
10.0%
Draw
15.0%
Oxford United
75.0%
20
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Oxford Utd
3-0
Burton Albion
Rodrigues (25', 83'), McGuane (89')

Gordon (74')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Burton Albion
2-0
Oxford Utd
Eastwood (40' og.), Taylor (49')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Oxford Utd
2-1
Burton Albion
Brannagan (48'), Joseph (71')
Findlay (86')
Adeboyejo (77')
Hughes (58'), Brayford (60')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Oxford Utd
4-1
Burton Albion
Baldock (7', 40'), Whyte (35'), Taylor (45')
Guedioura (45+2')
Saydee (29')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Burton Albion
1-3
Oxford Utd
Lakin (80')
Bostwick (38'), Akins (53'), Hemmings (86')
Taylor (1'), Holland (43'), Henry (84' pen.)
Brannagan (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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