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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Oxford United

Shrewsbury
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Price (82')
Winchester (67'), Price (87'), Flanagan (87'), Marosi (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bodin (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-3 Oxford United

Oxford United have enjoyed this fixture in recent seasons, taking victories from four of their last five trips to Shrewsbury and scoring three goals in three of these victories. While the visitors have scored a lot this season, they are also prone to conceding their fair share of goals, and we expect the hosts to get on the scoresheet in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawOxford United
31.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 26.73% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 42.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 50.75% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.88% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)54.12% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)75.54% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)31.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.62% (0.009999999999998 0.01)68.39% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.44% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)60.27%
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 31.25%
    Oxford United 42.03%
    Draw 26.72%
Shrewsbury TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.28%
2-1 @ 7.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.01%
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.25%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.13% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 11.12%
1-2 @ 8.69%
0-2 @ 7.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.96%
0-3 @ 3.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.36%
0-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 42.03%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Oxford Utd

Shrewsbury Town
22.2%
Draw
5.6%
Oxford United
72.2%
18
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Oxford Utd
3-0
Shrewsbury
Stevens (17'), Brown (59'), Leigh (90+6')
Leigh (71'), Goodrham (80'), McEachran (88')

Anderson (47')
Anderson (58')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Shrewsbury
1-2
Oxford Utd
Bowman (60')
Pennington (82')
Taylor (11'), Brannagan (82' pen.)
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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