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League One
Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Carlisle United

Shrewsbury
1 - 0
Carlisle

Udoh (40')
Perry (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Neal (4'), McGeouch (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Exeter
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-0 Carlisle United

 Shrewsbury will certainly be wounded by their heavy midweek defeat, but with home advantage back on their side against a Carlisle team in the midst of a rut, we fancy them to bounce back on Saturday and come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shrewsbury Town in this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawCarlisle United
35.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 27.35% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 37.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.79% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)55.77% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.1% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)76.9% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)29.9% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)65.99% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)28.97% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)64.86% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 35.56%
    Carlisle United 37.08%
    Draw 27.34%
Shrewsbury TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.31%
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 35.56%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 8.66% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 10.73% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.08%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Carlisle

Shrewsbury Town
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Carlisle United
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Carlisle
2-0
Shrewsbury
Bayliss (57' og.), Garner (90+6')
Guy (82'), Garner (90+6')

Bowman (45'), Feeney (62'), Winchester (75'), Anderson (90+1')
Aug 9, 2022 7.30pm
First Round
Shrewsbury
3-2
Carlisle
Leahy (45+1'), Udoh (75'), Dunkley (86')
Shipley (90+5')
Edmondson (13'), Dennis (81')
> Preview
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Carlisle
1-2
Shrewsbury
Gibson (90+1')
Whelan (8'), Clough (30'), Feeney (60')
Bloxham (10'), Bowman (78')
Pennington (25'), Vela (49'), Udoh (54')
> Preview
Feb 10, 2015 7.45pm
Carlisle
1-2
Shrewsbury
Wyke (66')
Meppen-Walters (63')
Collins (94'), Demetriou (93')
Collins (95')
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
Shrewsbury
1-0
Carlisle
Grandison (42')

Dempsey (38'), Thirlwell (84')
Thirlwell (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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