League One

League One | Gameweek 38

Mar 12, 2024 at 8pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
5 - 0
Oxford Utd

Ogbeta (19'), Cogley (27'), Thomason (59'), Collins (65'), Sheehan (69')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Dale (55'), Brannagan (63'), Brown (72')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 2-2 Bolton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bolton Wanderers 3-1 Oxford United

Bolton are back at their home fortress on Tuesday night and will be confident of breaking into the top two with all three points against Oxford. The U's edged past a struggling Cheltenham side on the weekend, but we feel that Buckingham's men will not be able to repeat the trick in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 1-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Oxford United
60.82% ( -0.74)	20.48% ( 0.4)	18.7% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 57.95% (

-0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.61% (

-1.38)

38.38% (

1.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.33% (

-1.48)

60.67% (

1.48)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.77% (

-0.63)

12.22% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.08% (

-1.33)

37.91% (

1.33)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.02% (

-0.48)

33.97% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.34% (

-0.52)

70.65% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 60.82%

Oxford United 18.7%

Draw 20.48%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Oxford United
2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.96% Total : 60.82%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.48%	1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 18.7%