Bolton5 - 0Oxford Utd
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
We said: Bolton Wanderers 3-1 Oxford United
Bolton are back at their home fortress on Tuesday night and will be confident of breaking into the top two with all three points against Oxford. The U's edged past a struggling Cheltenham side on the weekend, but we feel that Buckingham's men will not be able to repeat the trick in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 1-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Oxford United |
60.82% ( -0.74) | 20.48% ( 0.4) | 18.7% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 57.95% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.61% ( -1.38) | 38.38% ( 1.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.33% ( -1.48) | 60.67% ( 1.48) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.77% ( -0.63) | 12.22% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.08% ( -1.33) | 37.91% ( 1.33) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.02% ( -0.48) | 33.97% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.34% ( -0.52) | 70.65% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Oxford United |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.16)1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.96% Total : 60.82% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.48% | 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 18.7% |
