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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Exeter City

Shrewsbury
0 - 2
Exeter

FT(HT: 0-1)
Doyle (9'), Magennis (65')
Sweeney (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 3-5 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 0-1 Exeter City

Shrewsbury were involved in a goal-laden contest at Crawley on the weekend, but we do not expect that to become a theme for the struggling Shrews. Exeter have been defensively solid over recent weeks and will be confident of recording another clean sheet and three points in Shropshire on Thursday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 21.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawExeter City
21.69% (0.349 0.35) 23.87% (0.412 0.41) 54.44% (-0.761 -0.76)
Both teams to score 51.48% (-0.806 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.72% (-1.311 -1.31)49.27% (1.31 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (-1.194 -1.19)71.33% (1.193 1.19)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.78% (-0.397 -0.4)37.22% (0.396 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99% (-0.395 -0.4)74% (0.39400000000001 0.39)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (-0.761 -0.76)17.99% (0.76 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.14% (-1.322 -1.32)48.85% (1.321 1.32)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 21.69%
    Exeter City 54.43%
    Draw 23.87%
Shrewsbury TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 6.62% (0.279 0.28)
2-1 @ 5.61% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.27% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.85% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 21.69%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.351 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 11.48% (0.33 0.33)
0-2 @ 9.85% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 5.63% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 5.57% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-4 @ 2.42% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.39% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 54.43%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Exeter

Shrewsbury Town
22.4%
Draw
15.9%
Exeter City
61.7%
107
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Shrewsbury
0-3
Exeter

Sraha (5'), Bayliss (42'), Benning (42')
Shipley (6')
Aimson (33'), Harris (41'), Aitchison (45+5')
Harper (27'), Cole (29'), Eisa (90+3')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
0-0
Shrewsbury
Sweeney (50'), Cole (69')
Shipley (18')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Shrewsbury
3-2
Exeter
Pennington (22'), Bayliss (34'), Dunkley (90+3')
Sweeney (17'), Grounds (20')
Apr 11, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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