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League One
Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Birmingham logo

Charlton
1 - 0
Birmingham

Godden (54')
Ramsay (7'), Coventry (81'), Campbell (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Anderson (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-2 Charlton
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Birmingham City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Huddersfield
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-2 Birmingham City

 After three straight defeats and a poor start against Bristol Rovers on Tuesday, we are expecting a response from Charlton at The Valley this weekend. That being said, Birmingham are in sensational form and should, on paper, be comfortable winners in the capital, although we believe that Blues will only manage a narrow success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBirmingham City
29.17% (-0.674 -0.67) 25.84% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 45% (0.63 0.63)
Both teams to score 52.48% (-0.523 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.59% (-0.503 -0.5)51.41% (0.504 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (-0.442 -0.44)73.23% (0.444 0.44)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (-0.748 -0.75)32.03% (0.749 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (-0.863 -0.86)68.5% (0.86399999999999 0.86)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.21% (0.079999999999998 0.08)22.79% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.51% (0.116 0.12)56.49% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 29.17%
    Birmingham City 44.99%
    Draw 25.84%
Charlton AthleticDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.73% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.17%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 10.79% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.98% (0.196 0.2)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.94% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 44.99%

How you voted: Charlton vs Birmingham

Charlton Athletic
11.1%
Draw
11.1%
Birmingham City
77.8%
36
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
First Round
Charlton
0-1
Birmingham

Gillesphey (6'), Berry (15')
Khela (32')
Anderson (27'), Sanderson (53')
Sanderson (78')
Jul 15, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 44
Birmingham
1-1
Charlton
> Match Report
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 7
Charlton
0-1
Birmingham

Pearce (35')
Bellingham (52')
Davis (82'), Dean (90'), Alvaro (97')
> Match Report
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Charlton
2-1
Birmingham
Gudmundsson (38'), Teixeira (94')
Diarra (57'), Gudmundsson (82')
Toral (32')
Grounds (82')
Nov 21, 2015 3pm
Birmingham
0-1
Charlton
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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