Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.