Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Chesterfield |
38.98% | 27.29% | 33.73% |
Both teams to score 49.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.28% | 55.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.14% | 76.86% |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.16% | 27.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.56% | 63.44% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.94% | 31.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.63% | 67.37% |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 7.07% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.98% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.91% 1-3 @ 2.95% 0-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.01% Total : 33.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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