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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Gillingham

Morecambe
2 - 3
Gillingham

Slew (11'), Brown (64')
Brown (23'), Adams (61'), Slew (74'), Khumbeni (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hawkins (18'), Dieng (73'), Mahoney (86')
Malone (83'), Dieng (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Morecambe
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Gillingham

Neither team heads into this match in good form and that could be reflected in the game itself as both will likely be more cautious because of their performances as late. Each club is hoping to make a late push into the playoffs, but they could end up sharing the points in this particular fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawGillingham
30.95% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 27.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 42.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.76% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)55.32% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.46% (0.014999999999997 0.01)76.53% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.24% (0.013000000000005 0.01)32.76% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.68% (0.016999999999999 0.02)69.32% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)25.99% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)61.01% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 30.95%
    Gillingham 42.03%
    Draw 27.01%
MorecambeDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 9.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 7.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.3%
3-1 @ 2.66% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 30.95%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 11.47%
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.73% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 3.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 42.03%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Gillingham

Morecambe
32.4%
Draw
44.1%
Gillingham
23.5%
34
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Gillingham
2-1
Morecambe
Lapslie (9'), Mahoney (23')
Williams (36'), Williams (59')
Mellon (11')
Mellon (39'), Connolly (52'), Love (75'), Tutonda (90+3')
Mellon (76')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Morecambe
1-1
Gillingham
Obika (84')
Jackson (72')
Tutonda (45+1'), Kelman (90+4')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Gillingham
2-1
Morecambe
Carayol (4'), Oliver (79' pen.)
Oliver (90+1')
Stockton (25')
Cooney (46'), Lavelle (51')
Mar 16, 2013 3pm
Nov 17, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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