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Championship header 2

League Two
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 13
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Crawley Town

Morecambe
1 - 0
Crawley

Slew (68')
Brown (8'), Khumbeni (45+1'), Songo'o (48'), Hiwula (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wright (10'), Williams (28'), Darcy (73'), Orsi (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Crawley Town

 With an exceptional defensive record and lengthy recuperation period under their belts, Crawley can feel optimistic of avoiding a third successive loss against Morecambe, whose performances at home often leave a lot to be desired. However, the Shrimps can never be underestimated in the face of adversity, and we think that a contest as tight as the standings would suggest will end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morecambe in this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawCrawley Town
38.86% (-0.323 -0.32) 25.9% (0.25 0.25) 35.24% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 54.49% (-0.836 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.2% (-1.078 -1.08)49.8% (1.082 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19% (-0.972 -0.97)71.8% (0.97499999999999 0.97)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.661 -0.66)25.15% (0.665 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (-0.924 -0.92)59.87% (0.928 0.93)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.79% (-0.468 -0.47)27.2% (0.472 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.38% (-0.613 -0.61)62.62% (0.617 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 38.86%
    Crawley Town 35.24%
    Draw 25.89%
MorecambeDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.234 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 38.86%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.296 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.91% (0.271 0.27)
1-2 @ 8% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.8% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.24%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Crawley

Morecambe
44.4%
Draw
22.2%
Crawley Town
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Crawley
1-2
Morecambe
Forster (17')
Conroy (42'), Wright (78')
Garner (35', 84')
Tutonda (80'), Harrack (90+4')
Mar 2, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Morecambe
3-1
Crawley
Stockton (5'), Mendes Gomes (59', 88')
Nadesan (13')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 6
Crawley
4-0
Morecambe
Francomb (52'), Watters (67', 71'), Frost (77')
Francomb (54')
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 42
Morecambe
P-P
Crawley
Nov 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crawley
1-1
Morecambe
Lubala (44' pen.)
Stockton (81')
Stockton (42'), Conlan (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall31196659342563
2AFC Wimbledon30167743202355
3Bradford CityBradford31159740281254
4Notts County30158747291853
5Port Vale30141063932752
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster3115794539652
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe32121373631549
8Salford City3113993830848
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348
10Chesterfield301191049371242
11Bromley31101294140142
12Colchester UnitedColchester3091473530541
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham30118114043-341
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood301010103936340
15Newport CountyNewport31117134147-640
16MK Dons31116144444039
17Swindon TownSwindon32911124648-238
18BarrowBarrow31107143436-237
19Gillingham3097142633-734
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3296172642-1633
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3079143448-1430
22Tranmere RoversTranmere31610152249-2728
23Morecambe3175192948-1926
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3157192349-2622
> League Two Full Table


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