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Championship header 2

League Two
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 13
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Crawley Town

Morecambe
1 - 0
Crawley

Slew (68')
Brown (8'), Khumbeni (45+1'), Songo'o (48'), Hiwula (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wright (10'), Williams (28'), Darcy (73'), Orsi (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Crawley Town

 With an exceptional defensive record and lengthy recuperation period under their belts, Crawley can feel optimistic of avoiding a third successive loss against Morecambe, whose performances at home often leave a lot to be desired. However, the Shrimps can never be underestimated in the face of adversity, and we think that a contest as tight as the standings would suggest will end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morecambe in this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawCrawley Town
38.86% (-0.323 -0.32) 25.9% (0.25 0.25) 35.24% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 54.49% (-0.836 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.2% (-1.078 -1.08)49.8% (1.082 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19% (-0.972 -0.97)71.8% (0.97499999999999 0.97)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.661 -0.66)25.15% (0.665 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (-0.924 -0.92)59.87% (0.928 0.93)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.79% (-0.468 -0.47)27.2% (0.472 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.38% (-0.613 -0.61)62.62% (0.617 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 38.86%
    Crawley Town 35.24%
    Draw 25.89%
MorecambeDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.234 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 38.86%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.296 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.91% (0.271 0.27)
1-2 @ 8% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.8% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.24%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Crawley

Morecambe
44.4%
Draw
22.2%
Crawley Town
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Crawley
1-2
Morecambe
Forster (17')
Conroy (42'), Wright (78')
Garner (35', 84')
Tutonda (80'), Harrack (90+4')
Mar 2, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Morecambe
3-1
Crawley
Stockton (5'), Mendes Gomes (59', 88')
Nadesan (13')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 6
Crawley
4-0
Morecambe
Francomb (52'), Watters (67', 71'), Frost (77')
Francomb (54')
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 42
Morecambe
P-P
Crawley
Nov 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crawley
1-1
Morecambe
Lubala (44' pen.)
Stockton (81')
Stockton (42'), Conlan (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Bengals
34-35
Ravens
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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