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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Crawley Town has a probability of 30.81% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Crawley Town win is 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11%).
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Crawley Town |
45.33% ( 0.18) | 23.86% ( -0.03) | 30.81% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 60.04% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.07% ( 0.06) | 41.92% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.67% ( 0.06) | 64.33% ( -0.06) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.27% ( 0.1) | 18.73% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.9% ( 0.16) | 50.1% ( -0.16) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.88% ( -0.07) | 26.12% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.82% ( -0.09) | 61.18% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 45.33% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 30.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
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