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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Accrington Stanley has a probability of 35.04% and a draw has a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.1%).
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
40.81% ( 0.03) | 24.15% ( -0.02) | 35.04% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 60.61% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.14% ( 0.08) | 41.85% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.74% ( 0.08) | 64.26% ( -0.08) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.32% ( 0.05) | 20.68% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.73% ( 0.08) | 53.26% ( -0.08) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.41% ( 0.03) | 23.59% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.34% ( 0.04) | 57.66% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 40.81% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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