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AFC Wimbledon
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Walsall
Walsall
League Two | Gameweek 27
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
Morecambe

Walsall
3 - 0
Morecambe

Tierney (13'), Matt (26'), Adegboyega (65')
Comley (23'), Gordon (58'), Knowles (62'), Earing (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Brannan (24'), Stokes (53'), Tutonda (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Walsall and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Morecambe
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Walsall 1-1 Morecambe

Morecambe would do well to cause chaos with long throws into the Walsall box, but the Saddlers are an extremely tough nut to crack at Banks's Stadium and have all the motivation they need to succeed on Tuesday. The visitors' penchant for goalscoring on the road should still help them to a degree, as will their superior head-to-head record, but we are finding it impossible to separate the two outfits on this occasion; a third successive 1-1 for Walsall could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.

Result
WalsallDrawMorecambe
46.85% (-1.3 -1.3) 25.07% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 28.09% (1.354 1.35)
Both teams to score 54.23% (1.197 1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21% (1.084 1.08)48.79% (-1.081 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.1% (0.976 0.98)70.89% (-0.97200000000001 -0.97)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.14% (-0.119 -0.12)20.86% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.45% (-0.189 -0.19)53.55% (0.192 0.19)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52% (1.617 1.62)31.48% (-1.611 -1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14% (1.826 1.83)67.86% (-1.822 -1.82)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 46.85%
    Morecambe 28.09%
    Draw 25.06%
WalsallDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.29% (-0.5 -0.5)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.427 -0.43)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.091 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 46.85%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.296 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.194 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.88% (0.273 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.39% (0.19 0.19)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.215 0.22)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.161 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 28.09%

How you voted: Walsall vs Morecambe

Walsall
39.3%
Draw
35.7%
Morecambe
25.0%
28
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Morecambe
2-1
Walsall
Major (25'), Rawson (90+2')
Love (34'), Adams (35'), Songo'o (38'), McKiernan (48'), Rawson (90+3'), Bedeau (90+5'), Slew (90+11')
Johnson (38')
Riley (37'), McEntee (45+1'), Hutchinson (86'), Johnson (90+5')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Walsall
0-2
Morecambe
Stockton (45+2'), Songo'o (76')
Songo'o (58')
Jan 19, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Morecambe
1-1
Walsall
Mendes Gomes (80')
Stockton (40'), Lavelle (79'), Hendrie (88')
Gordon (37')
Jules (40')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Walsall
0-2
Morecambe

Gordon (45')
Old (68'), Mendes Gomes (96')
Slew (45'), Mendes Gomes (77'), Mbulu (89')
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Morecambe
0-1
Walsall

Old (79')
Sinclair (4')
Liddle (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Bengals
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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