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Walsall
Walsall
League Two | Gameweek 27
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
Morecambe

Walsall
3 - 0
Morecambe

Tierney (13'), Matt (26'), Adegboyega (65')
Comley (23'), Gordon (58'), Knowles (62'), Earing (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Brannan (24'), Stokes (53'), Tutonda (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Walsall and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Morecambe
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Walsall 1-1 Morecambe

Morecambe would do well to cause chaos with long throws into the Walsall box, but the Saddlers are an extremely tough nut to crack at Banks's Stadium and have all the motivation they need to succeed on Tuesday. The visitors' penchant for goalscoring on the road should still help them to a degree, as will their superior head-to-head record, but we are finding it impossible to separate the two outfits on this occasion; a third successive 1-1 for Walsall could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.

Result
WalsallDrawMorecambe
46.85% (-1.3 -1.3) 25.07% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 28.09% (1.354 1.35)
Both teams to score 54.23% (1.197 1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21% (1.084 1.08)48.79% (-1.081 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.1% (0.976 0.98)70.89% (-0.97200000000001 -0.97)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.14% (-0.119 -0.12)20.86% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.45% (-0.189 -0.19)53.55% (0.192 0.19)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52% (1.617 1.62)31.48% (-1.611 -1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14% (1.826 1.83)67.86% (-1.822 -1.82)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 46.85%
    Morecambe 28.09%
    Draw 25.06%
WalsallDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.29% (-0.5 -0.5)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.427 -0.43)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.091 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 46.85%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.296 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.194 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.88% (0.273 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.39% (0.19 0.19)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.215 0.22)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.161 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 28.09%

How you voted: Walsall vs Morecambe

Walsall
39.3%
Draw
35.7%
Morecambe
25.0%
28
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Morecambe
2-1
Walsall
Major (25'), Rawson (90+2')
Love (34'), Adams (35'), Songo'o (38'), McKiernan (48'), Rawson (90+3'), Bedeau (90+5'), Slew (90+11')
Johnson (38')
Riley (37'), McEntee (45+1'), Hutchinson (86'), Johnson (90+5')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Walsall
0-2
Morecambe
Stockton (45+2'), Songo'o (76')
Songo'o (58')
Jan 19, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Morecambe
1-1
Walsall
Mendes Gomes (80')
Stockton (40'), Lavelle (79'), Hendrie (88')
Gordon (37')
Jules (40')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Walsall
0-2
Morecambe

Gordon (45')
Old (68'), Mendes Gomes (96')
Slew (45'), Mendes Gomes (77'), Mbulu (89')
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Morecambe
0-1
Walsall

Old (79')
Sinclair (4')
Liddle (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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