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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two
May 19, 2024 at 1pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Crawley
2 - 0
Crewe

Orsi (41'), Kelly (85')
Addai (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rowe (19'), Adebisi (59'), Tabiner (66')

The Match

Match Report

Crawley Town beat Crewe Alexandra 2-0 in the League Two playoff final at Wembley Stadium to earn a place in League One for the first time since 2015.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 1-5 Crawley
Saturday, May 11 at 7.45pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Doncaster 0-2 Crewe (3-4 pen.)
Friday, May 10 at 8pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
42.53% (1.048 1.05) 24.87% (-0.123 -0.12) 32.61% (-0.926 -0.93)
Both teams to score 57.35% (0.117 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.18% (0.284 0.28)45.82% (-0.285 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.87% (0.269 0.27)68.13% (-0.27 -0.27)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.44% (0.616 0.62)21.56% (-0.616 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.36% (0.938 0.94)54.64% (-0.94 -0.94)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11% (-0.43000000000001 -0.43)26.89% (0.43 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.8% (-0.569 -0.57)62.21% (0.569 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 42.53%
    Crewe Alexandra 32.61%
    Draw 24.86%
Crawley TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.115 0.11)
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.169 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.142 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.149 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.08 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 42.53%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.8% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.86%
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 32.61%

How you voted: Crawley vs Crewe

Crawley Town
54.8%
Draw
9.7%
Crewe Alexandra
35.5%
31
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Crewe
1-0
Crawley
Adebisi (61')
Rowe (11'), Cooney (16'), Offord (90'), Leigh (90+4')

Campbell (13'), Campbell (13'), Addai (54')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Crawley
2-4
Crewe
Lolas (15'), Darcy (28')
Conroy (2'), Wright (45+3'), Lolas (66'), Williams (90+7')
Tracey (20'), Conroy (56' og.), Baker-Richardson (75'), Nevitt (90+4')
Baker-Richardson (54'), Nevitt (90+6')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Crawley
2-2
Crewe
Offord (19' og.), Gladwin (90+7')
Agyei (51', 61')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Crewe
1-0
Crawley
Baker-Richardson (73')
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Crewe
2-1
Crawley
Porter (72' pen., 90')
Offord (83'), Ainley (90')
Ferguson (84' pen.)
Francomb (51'), Bulman (67'), Grego-Cox (68')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BarrowBarrow7511113816
2Gillingham7511102816
3Walsall7502114715
4Notts County7421147714
5AFC Wimbledon641194513
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster7412119213
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe741277013
8Bradford CityBradford732297211
9Port Vale73221110111
10Chesterfield723210649
11Colchester UnitedColchester7232121029
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood62318719
13Salford City723246-29
14Grimsby Town7304912-39
15Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
16Newport CountyNewport73041015-59
17Bromley7214911-27
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham7214911-27
19MK Dons721469-37
20Harrogate TownHarrogate7214610-47
21Swindon TownSwindon7133710-36
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle7205814-66
23Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
24Morecambe7025510-52
> League Two Full Table


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