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Championship header 2

League Two
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Colchester
1 - 1
Crewe

Chilvers (35')
Kelleher (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nevitt (90+2')
Rowe (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 1-4 Doncaster
Tuesday, April 23 at 7.45pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Wrexham
Saturday, April 20 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 2-0 Crewe Alexandra

 All of the League Two contests on Saturday take place simultaneously, which means each side should feel a sense of urgency to earn a result. Despite Crewe having 26 more points than their weekend opponents, they have looked undisciplined and unhinged defensively, sometimes against mediocre sides, while Colchester have been able to keep most of their recent matches close, and that consistency should help them in this decisive encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
29.91% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 24.12% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 45.98% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 58.63% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.44% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)43.56% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.05% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)65.95% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)27.51% (0.096999999999998 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.98% (-0.12 -0.12)63.02% (0.125 0.13)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)19.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.25% (0.0010000000000048 0)50.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 29.91%
    Crewe Alexandra 45.98%
    Draw 24.11%
Colchester UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 29.91%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.2% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 45.98%

How you voted: Colchester vs Crewe

Colchester United
31.3%
Draw
31.3%
Crewe Alexandra
37.5%
16
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Crewe
2-1
Colchester
Long (3', 8' pen.)
Demetriou (90+3')
Tovide (53')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Colchester
4-0
Crewe
Akinde (24', 28'), Chilvers (40'), Tovide (55')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crewe
1-0
Colchester
Agyei (80')
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Colchester
P-P
Crewe
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Crewe
0-0
Colchester
Lowery (71'), Pickering (80'), Hunt (95')
Comley (45'), Eastman (83')
Robinson (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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