League Two | 1st Leg
May 7, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Crawley3 - 0MK Dons
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 4-4 Sutton
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Crawley Town 2-2 MK Dons
MK Dons have seen the goals fly in during recent weeks, and we expect more excitement in Monday's first leg, but we think that the visitors may have to settle for a draw against a Crawley side that has avoided defeat in each of their last three matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | MK Dons |
35.65% ( 0) | 23.49% ( -0) | 40.86% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.21% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
