League Two

League Two | 1st Leg

May 7, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
3 - 0
MK Dons

(Crawley Town win 8-1 on aggregate)

Kelly (5'), Williams (45+1'), Darcy (65')
Maguire (51'), Conroy (66'), Gordon (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Tomlinson (41'), Bate (45'), Harvie (57')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 4-4 Sutton
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Crawley Town 2-2 MK Dons

MK Dons have seen the goals fly in during recent weeks, and we expect more excitement in Monday's first leg, but we think that the visitors may have to settle for a draw against a Crawley side that has avoided defeat in each of their last three matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	MK Dons
35.65% ( 0)	23.49% ( -0)	40.86% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 63.21% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.48% (

0.02)

38.52% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.19% (

0.02)

60.81% (

-0.02)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.27% (

0.01)

21.72% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.11% (

0.02)

54.89% (

-0.01)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.76% (

0.01)

19.24% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.05% (

0.02)

50.95% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 35.65%

MK Dons 40.86%

Draw 23.48%

Crawley Town	Draw	MK Dons
2-1 @ 8.03% 1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.65%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.48%	1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.12% 1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.36% Total : 40.86%