League Two

League Two | 2nd Leg

May 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
1 - 5
Crawley

(Crawley Town win 8-1 on aggregate)

Dean (45+1')
Williams (61'), Williams (83'), Dean (90+5'), Williams (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Williams (3'), Orsi (30', 48', 90+2'), Roles (80')
Lolos (40'), Tucker (63')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: Crawley 3-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, May 7 at 7.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Crawley 3-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, May 7 at 7.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: MK Dons 3-1 Crawley Town (Crawley Town win 4-3 on aggregate)

Considering MK Dons' stellar record on home turf this season, it is hard to imagine the Dons failing to stage some level of comeback this weekend. That being said, Crawley have put themselves in an excellent position to advance into the Wembley final, and we reckon that the Red Devils will narrowly get over the line in Buckinghamshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Crawley Town
48.61% ( 0)	22.19% ( 0)	29.2% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 65.15% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.22% (

-0.01)

34.78% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.26% (

-0.01)

56.74% (

0.01)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.24% (

-0)

14.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57% (

-0)

43% (

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.43% (

-0.01)

23.57% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.37% (

-0.01)

57.63% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 48.61%

Crawley Town 29.2%

Draw 22.19%

MK Dons	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.87% 3-2 @ 4.24% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.81% 4-2 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.94% 5-1 @ 1.07% 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 48.61%	1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.19%	1-2 @ 6.95% 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 29.2%