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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Morecambe

Accrington
2 - 1
Morecambe

Costelloe (36' pen., 45+1')
Rawson (51'), Costelloe (75'), O'Brien (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tollitt (86')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawMorecambe
41.57% (0.064 0.06) 25.92% (0.222 0.22) 32.5% (-0.288 -0.29)
Both teams to score 53.77% (-0.827 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55% (-1.027 -1.03)50.44% (1.025 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (-0.916 -0.92)72.37% (0.914 0.91)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (-0.423 -0.42)24.03% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.7% (-0.605 -0.6)58.29% (0.603 0.6)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77% (-0.693 -0.69)29.22% (0.689 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.82% (-0.862 -0.86)65.17% (0.86 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 41.57%
    Morecambe 32.51%
    Draw 25.91%
Accrington StanleyDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.01% (0.287 0.29)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 41.57%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.286 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.191 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.51%

Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Accrington
1-2
Morecambe
Shipley (89')
Gubbins (60'), Leigh (72'), Shipley (89'), O'Brien (90+9')
Khumbeni (55'), Brown (62')
Khumbeni (47'), Tutonda (90+4')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Morecambe
1-1
Accrington
Connolly (64')
Bloxham (61'), Senior (72'), Bedeau (87')
Leigh (70' pen.)
Andrews (61'), Coleman (62'), Hills (63'), Whalley (65')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Morecambe
2-0
Accrington
Shaw (34'), Weir (43')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Accrington
3-1
Morecambe
Coyle (58'), Hamilton (82'), Leigh (85')
Astley (77' og.)
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Accrington
2-2
Morecambe
Bishop (35'), Nottingham (45+4')
Bagueloc'rich (85'), Butcher (88')
Ayunga (14', 26')
Diagouraga (38'), Carson (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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