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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Notts County
2 - 0
Accrington

McGoldrick (18', 67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Walton (16'), Awe (19'), Love (45+1'), Batty (63'), Quirk (65'), Whalley (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Notts County
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-4 Stockport
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Notts County 3-1 Accrington Stanley

 Notts County may have won just one of their last eight league meetings with Accrington, failing to keep a single clean sheet during this run, but they will be regarded as favourites to come out on top in Saturday's contest. Accrington have shown signs of promise going forward in stages of games this term, but they have lost each of their last five away league games, conceding 17 goals in the process, and they may struggle to keep the hosts quiet at Meadow Lane. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 55.7%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.23%) and 1-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawAccrington Stanley
55.7% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26) 20.84% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 23.46% (0.179 0.18)
Both teams to score 64.34% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.59% (-0.194 -0.19)33.41% (0.194 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.8% (-0.22 -0.22)55.19% (0.221 0.22)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.91% (-0.136 -0.14)12.09% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.37% (-0.288 -0.29)37.63% (0.289 0.29)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (0.030999999999992 0.03)26.81% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (0.041000000000004 0.04)62.1% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 55.7%
    Accrington Stanley 23.46%
    Draw 20.84%
Notts CountyDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.54% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.33% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 55.7%
1-1 @ 9.01% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.27% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.24% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 20.84%
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.27% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.81% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 23.46%

How you voted: Notts County vs Accrington

Notts County
89.7%
Draw
6.9%
Accrington Stanley
3.4%
29
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Accrington
2-2
Notts County
Whalley (17'), Nolan (79' pen.)
O'Brien (46'), Hills (90+6')
O'Brien (4'), Jatta (45')
Baldwin (71')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Notts County
3-1
Accrington
Crowley (7'), Langstaff (64', 90')
Jones (22'), Nemane (61'), Adebayo-Rowling (90+5'), Brindley (90+5')
Andrews (27')
Leigh (74'), Conneely (86')
Apr 2, 2018 3pm
Accrington
1-0
Notts County
Hughes (9')
Aug 25, 2017 7.45pm
Notts County
2-2
Accrington
Stead (33' pen.), Grant (54')
Duffy (58'), Hewitt (63'), Tootle (91')
Tootle (91')
Hughes (58'), Wilks (95')
Donacien (65'), Wilks (92')
Leacock-McLeod (66')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Accrington
2-0
Notts County
Rodgers (45'), Husin (80')

Ameobi (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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