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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Notts County
2 - 0
Accrington

McGoldrick (18', 67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Walton (16'), Awe (19'), Love (45+1'), Batty (63'), Quirk (65'), Whalley (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Notts County
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-4 Stockport
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Notts County 3-1 Accrington Stanley

 Notts County may have won just one of their last eight league meetings with Accrington, failing to keep a single clean sheet during this run, but they will be regarded as favourites to come out on top in Saturday's contest. Accrington have shown signs of promise going forward in stages of games this term, but they have lost each of their last five away league games, conceding 17 goals in the process, and they may struggle to keep the hosts quiet at Meadow Lane. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 55.7%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.23%) and 1-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawAccrington Stanley
55.7% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26) 20.84% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 23.46% (0.179 0.18)
Both teams to score 64.34% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.59% (-0.194 -0.19)33.41% (0.194 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.8% (-0.22 -0.22)55.19% (0.221 0.22)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.91% (-0.136 -0.14)12.09% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.37% (-0.288 -0.29)37.63% (0.289 0.29)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (0.030999999999992 0.03)26.81% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (0.041000000000004 0.04)62.1% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 55.7%
    Accrington Stanley 23.46%
    Draw 20.84%
Notts CountyDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.54% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.33% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 55.7%
1-1 @ 9.01% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.27% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.24% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 20.84%
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.27% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.81% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 23.46%

How you voted: Notts County vs Accrington

Notts County
89.7%
Draw
6.9%
Accrington Stanley
3.4%
29
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Accrington
2-2
Notts County
Whalley (17'), Nolan (79' pen.)
O'Brien (46'), Hills (90+6')
O'Brien (4'), Jatta (45')
Baldwin (71')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Notts County
3-1
Accrington
Crowley (7'), Langstaff (64', 90')
Jones (22'), Nemane (61'), Adebayo-Rowling (90+5'), Brindley (90+5')
Andrews (27')
Leigh (74'), Conneely (86')
Apr 2, 2018 3pm
Accrington
1-0
Notts County
Hughes (9')
Aug 25, 2017 7.45pm
Notts County
2-2
Accrington
Stead (33' pen.), Grant (54')
Duffy (58'), Hewitt (63'), Tootle (91')
Tootle (91')
Hughes (58'), Wilks (95')
Donacien (65'), Wilks (92')
Leacock-McLeod (66')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Accrington
2-0
Notts County
Rodgers (45'), Husin (80')

Ameobi (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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