Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Crewe Alexandra.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Accrington
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
29.03% ( 0.13) | 23.87% ( 0.01) | 47.1% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 58.9% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.04% ( 0.02) | 42.96% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.64% ( 0.02) | 65.36% ( -0.01) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% ( 0.09) | 27.81% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.61% ( 0.12) | 63.4% ( -0.12) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.58% ( -0.05) | 18.42% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.42% ( -0.08) | 49.59% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley 29.03%
Crewe Alexandra 47.1%
Draw 23.87%
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 2-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.03% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.29% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 3.5% Total : 47.1% |
Form Guide
