MX23RW : Wednesday, November 13 20:01:35| >> :60:1577:1577:
Chesterfield
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
Technique Stadium
Grimsby Town

Chesterfield
3 - 2
Grimsby Town

Berry (8', 58'), Madden (39')
Naylor (70')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cass (18'), Gardner (47')
Cribb (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Chesterfield and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Chesterfield 0-3 Accrington
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Chesterfield 2-0 Grimsby Town

 As pitiful as Chesterfield's display against Accrington Stanley was at the weekend, Cook's men have otherwise proven to be near-unbeatable over the autumnal period and have already asserted their authority over Grimsby once this term. With the Mariners also having nothing left to salvage in this season's competition, we have complete faith in the hosts to seal first place in comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawGrimsby Town
52.8% (1.88 1.88) 22.72% (-0.215 -0.22) 24.48% (-1.666 -1.67)
Both teams to score 58.77% (-1.015 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.72% (-0.553 -0.55)41.27% (0.551 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33% (-0.564 -0.56)63.67% (0.563 0.56)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.32% (0.458 0.46)15.67% (-0.461 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.28% (0.843 0.84)44.72% (-0.845 -0.84)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (-1.593 -1.59)30.3% (1.592 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (-1.944 -1.94)66.48% (1.942 1.94)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 52.8%
    Grimsby Town 24.48%
    Draw 22.71%
ChesterfieldDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.119 0.12)
1-0 @ 8.8% (0.352 0.35)
2-0 @ 8.16% (0.448 0.45)
3-1 @ 6.02% (0.166 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.04% (0.351 0.35)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.119 0.12)
4-0 @ 2.33% (0.196 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.66%
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 52.8%
1-1 @ 10.5% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.306 -0.31)
0-1 @ 5.67% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.222 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 3%
Total : 24.48%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Grimsby Town

Chesterfield
82.5%
Draw
12.5%
Grimsby Town
5.0%
40
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Chesterfield
2-1
Grimsby Town
Berry (27'), Markanday (45+2')
Cook (0'), Oldaker (24'), Grimes (39'), Grigg (90+3')
Oldaker (67')
Vernam (50')
Warren (26'), Vernam (58'), Carson (63'), Grigg (90+1')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Chesterfield
1-4
Grimsby Town
Maguire (6')
King (6')
McAtee (27'), Holohan (31'), Clifton (50'), Taylor (78')
McAtee (28')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Grimsby Town
0-1
Chesterfield

Coke (48')
Tshimanga (84')
Weston (85')
Dec 2, 2018 2pm
Second Round
Chesterfield
0-2
Grimsby Town
Vernam (37'), Clifton (70')
Clifton (71')
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-0
Chesterfield
Rose (88' pen.)
Fox (53'), Vernon (55'), Dembele (68'), Rose (88')

Reed (79'), Talbot (90')
rhs 2.0
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