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Championship header 2

League Two
Chesterfield
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Technique Stadium
Grimsby Town

Chesterfield
2 - 1
Grimsby Town

Berry (27'), Markanday (45+2')
Cook (0'), Oldaker (24'), Grimes (39'), Grigg (90+3')
Oldaker (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vernam (50')
Warren (26'), Vernam (58'), Carson (63'), Grigg (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Chesterfield and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Chesterfield
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-1 Bradford
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Chesterfield 2-1 Grimsby Town

 Although Chesterfield lost their unbeaten record last time out, it was against the league leaders. With that in mind, we are expecting Cook's side to bounce back in a competitive fixture, extending Grimsby's losing streak on their travels to three matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chesterfield in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chesterfield.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawGrimsby Town
51.48% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04) 23.67% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 24.85% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.93% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.78% (0.192 0.19)45.22% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.43% (0.183 0.18)67.57% (-0.185 -0.19)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.41% (0.058999999999997 0.06)17.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.84% (0.102 0.1)48.16% (-0.103 -0.1)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (0.158 0.16)32.14% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (0.18 0.18)68.62% (-0.181 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 51.48%
    Grimsby Town 24.85%
    Draw 23.67%
ChesterfieldDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.61% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 51.48%
1-1 @ 11.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.67%
0-1 @ 6.42% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 24.85%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Grimsby Town

Chesterfield
52.8%
Draw
11.1%
Grimsby Town
36.1%
36
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Chesterfield
1-4
Grimsby Town
Maguire (6')
King (6')
McAtee (27'), Holohan (31'), Clifton (50'), Taylor (78')
McAtee (28')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Grimsby Town
0-1
Chesterfield

Coke (48')
Tshimanga (84')
Weston (85')
Dec 2, 2018 2pm
Second Round
Chesterfield
0-2
Grimsby Town
Vernam (37'), Clifton (70')
Clifton (71')
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-0
Chesterfield
Rose (88' pen.)
Fox (53'), Vernon (55'), Dembele (68'), Rose (88')

Reed (79'), Talbot (90')
Aug 5, 2017 3pm
Chesterfield
1-3
Grimsby Town
Dennis (82')
Donohue (5'), Dennis (86')
Evatt (83')
Clarke (33'), Jones (39'), Davies (85' pen.)
Mills (88')
Mills (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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