Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 20, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Oceane
Le Havre0 - 4Lyon
We said: Le Havre 0-2 Lyon
There has never been a draw between the sides in the top flight here in Normandy, and that run is likely to extend to 17 games with Lyon the slight favourites to come out on top. Four wins in a row compared to four defeats in a row does not make for good reading for the hosts, as a confident Lyon side are not the ideal opponents to face when stuck in a rut. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Lyon |
23.95% ( -0.36) | 23.45% ( 0.06) | 52.6% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.91% ( -0.59) | 45.09% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.57% ( -0.57) | 67.43% ( 0.57) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.19% ( -0.63) | 32.81% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.62% ( -0.7) | 69.38% ( 0.71) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% ( -0.11) | 17.13% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.65% ( -0.19) | 47.34% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
Le Havre 23.95%
Lyon 52.6%
Draw 23.45%
| Le Havre | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.95% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.45% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 5.74% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.9% Total : 52.6% |
How you voted: Le Havre vs Lyon
Le Havre
16.4%Draw
10.9%Lyon
72.7%55
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 18
Le Havre
3-1
Lyon
