Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Watford2 - 1Derby
The Match
Match Report
Joao Pedro and Will Hughes were on target in the 2-1 success.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 46.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 26.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Derby County |
| 46.95% | 26.88% | 26.16% |
| Both teams to score 47.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.94% | 57.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.05% | 77.95% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% | 24.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.3% | 58.7% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.56% | 37.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.77% | 74.23% |
| Score Analysis |
Watford 46.95%
Derby County 26.16%
Draw 26.88%
| Watford | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 12.87% 2-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 8.94% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.45% Total : 46.95% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 8.94% 1-2 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.71% Total : 26.16% |
How you voted: Watford vs Derby
Watford
69.7%Draw
17.7%Derby County
12.6%175
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2020 7.45pm
Apr 3, 2015 7.45pm
Nov 22, 2014 3pm
Apr 26, 2014 3pm
Oct 19, 2013 3pm
