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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 12
Nov 21, 2020 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Derby logo

Bristol City
1 - 0
Derby

Diedhiou (78')
Paterson (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Buchanan (58')

The Match

Match Report

Bristol City edge the Championship match at Ashton Gate.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Bristol City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol City in this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawDerby County
40.53%26.91%32.55%
Both teams to score 50.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.51%54.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.15%75.84%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6%26.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44%61.56%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78%31.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44%67.56%
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 40.53%
    Derby County 32.55%
    Draw 26.91%
Bristol CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 10.97%
2-1 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.53%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.24%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 9.59%
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.55%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Derby
1-2
Bristol City
Marriott (85')
Huddlestone (79'), Dowell (81')
Weimann (16'), Brownhill (45')
Brownhill (75')
Jul 14, 2019 2.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Bristol City
P-P
Derby
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bristol City
0-2
Derby

Semenyo (59')
Lawrence (18'), Bogle (77')
Bogle (21'), Mount (29'), Lawrence (63'), Bennett (93')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
Derby
1-1
Bristol City
Waghorn (37')
Paterson (24')
Pack (13'), Pisano (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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