MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 14:16:23| >> :120:7030:7030:
Finland national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
Republic of Ireland national football team

Finland
1 - 2
Rep. Ireland

FT(HT: 1-0)
Scales (57'), Brady (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Finland and Republic of Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: England 2-0 Finland
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-2 Greece
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Finland 1-1 Republic of Ireland

While they tend to struggle on the road, Finland have won both of their last two home matches and are now faced by an Irish side bereft of confidence - but the Boys in Green do boast some attacking talent. Both teams will sense this is one of their best chances to pick up three points, so the game could open up and end in a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 21.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
FinlandDrawRepublic of Ireland
54.02% (1.756 1.76) 24.4% (-0.315 -0.31) 21.58% (-1.441 -1.44)
Both teams to score 49.73% (-0.847 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.47% (-0.215 -0.21)51.53% (0.216 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.67% (-0.187 -0.19)73.32% (0.18899999999999 0.19)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81% (0.60600000000001 0.61)19% (-0.605 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.44% (0.997 1)50.56% (-0.997 -1)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.4% (-1.517 -1.52)38.6% (1.517 1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.66% (-1.473 -1.47)75.34% (1.473 1.47)
Score Analysis
    Finland 54%
    Republic of Ireland 21.58%
    Draw 24.4%
FinlandDrawRepublic of Ireland
1-0 @ 12.17% (0.33 0.33)
2-0 @ 10.11% (0.461 0.46)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.357 0.36)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.13 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.32% (0.19 0.19)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.095 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 54%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 7.33% (0.063 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.166 -0.17)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 6.98% (-0.232 -0.23)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.311 -0.31)
0-2 @ 3.32% (-0.254 -0.25)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 21.58%

How you voted: Finland vs Rep. Ireland

Finland
50.3%
Draw
30.1%
Republic of Ireland
19.7%
173
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2020 5pm
Sep 6, 2020 5pm
rhs 2.0
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