![Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir](https://sm.imgix.net/19/11/stelog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ochilview Park
![Ayr United Ayr United](https://sm.imgix.net/19/11/ayrlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Stenhousemuir1 - 4Ayr
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Stenhousemuir and Ayr United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dundee Utd 3-0 Stenhousemuir
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dundee Utd 2-1 Ayr
Saturday, July 20 at 5.15pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, July 20 at 5.15pm in Scottish League Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
Result | ||
Stenhousemuir | Draw | Ayr United |
32.01% (![]() | 26.97% (![]() | 41.02% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.18% (![]() | 54.82% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.88% (![]() | 76.12% (![]() |
Stenhousemuir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.24% (![]() | 31.76% (![]() |