MX23RW : Wednesday, November 6 01:41:06| >> :600:190649:190649:
Stenhousemuir
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ochilview Park
Ayr United

Stenhousemuir
1 - 4
Ayr

Taylor (6')
Yates (54'), Banner (69')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Oakley (8'), Musonda (26'), Dowds (56'), Henderson (65')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Stenhousemuir and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dundee Utd 3-0 Stenhousemuir
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dundee Utd 2-1 Ayr
Saturday, July 20 at 5.15pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawAyr United
32.01% (3.53 3.53) 26.97% (0.338 0.34) 41.02% (-3.868 -3.87)
Both teams to score 50.3% (0.634 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.18% (0.036000000000001 0.04)54.82% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.88% (0.029 0.03)76.12% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24% (2.602 2.6)31.76% (-2.602 -2.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.81% (2.881 2.88)68.18% (-2.882 -2.88)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.71% (-1.956 -1.96)26.29% (1.955 1.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.58% (-2.691 -2.69)61.42% (2.69 2.69)
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 32.01%
    Ayr United 41.02%
    Draw 26.96%
StenhousemuirDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.644 0.64)
2-1 @ 7.34% (0.595 0.6)
2-0 @ 5.49% (0.721 0.72)
3-1 @ 2.81% (0.405 0.41)
3-0 @ 2.1% (0.401 0.4)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.177 0.18)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.01%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.136 0.14)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 11.15% (-0.66 -0.66)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.374 -0.37)
0-2 @ 7.45% (-0.899 -0.9)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.396 -0.4)
0-3 @ 3.32% (-0.615 -0.62)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.282 -0.28)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 41.02%

Head to Head
Jul 18, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Ayr
1-0
Stenhousemuir
McKenzie (27')
Murdoch (43')
Jul 24, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Ayr
5-0
Stenhousemuir
Shankland (2', 8', 46'), Moffat (41', 86')

Johnson (23'), Cook (56'), Garcia Tena (58')
Apr 16, 2016 3pm
Stenhousemuir
0-4
Ayr

Beith (58'), Meechan (62')
Donald (1'), Moore (47'), Preston (79' pen., 88')
Murphy (52'), Docherty (92')
Mar 8, 2016 7.45pm
Ayr
4-1
Stenhousemuir
Moore (65'), Malcolm (77' og.), Stevenson (84'), Trouten (92')
Devlin (5'), Adams (43')
McCormack (69')
Summers (21'), Cook (54'), Meechan (59'), Gilhaney (91'), McCormack (93')
Cook (73')
Oct 24, 2015 3pm
Stenhousemuir
0-1
Ayr

Murray (90')
Robertson (89')
Caldwell (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!