Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.