Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
39.32% ( -0.14) | 26.54% ( 0.03) | 34.14% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 52.18% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.32% ( -0.11) | 52.67% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.68% ( -0.09) | 74.32% ( 0.09) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.77% ( -0.13) | 26.22% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.67% ( -0.17) | 61.32% ( 0.17) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.72% ( 0.01) | 29.27% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.76% ( 0.02) | 65.23% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.31% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |