Arbroath

2 - 3

Dunfermline

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.