Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 49.41%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.