Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 59.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Arbroath |
59.21% (![]() | 22.19% (![]() | 18.6% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.92% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.73% (![]() | 46.27% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.44% (![]() | 68.56% (![]() |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.74% (![]() | 15.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.05% (![]() | 43.95% (![]() |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.27% (![]() | 38.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.53% (![]() | 75.47% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 11.11% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.44% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.91% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.54% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.42% Total : 59.21% | 1-1 @ 10.53% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.18% | 0-1 @ 5.61% (![]() 1-2 @ 5% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 2.27% Total : 18.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 23 | 24 | 50 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 48 |
3 | Livingston | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 46 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 36 |
5 | Raith Rovers | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 30 |
6 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 28 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 24 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 23 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 13 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |