Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-0 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.