Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
Result | ||
Queen's Park | Draw | Arbroath |
51.4% ( 0.14) | 24.33% ( -0.02) | 24.27% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 53.16% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.41% ( -0.05) | 48.58% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.29% ( -0.05) | 70.7% ( 0.05) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.1% ( 0.04) | 18.9% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.62% ( 0.06) | 50.38% ( -0.06) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.55% ( -0.14) | 34.45% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.84% ( -0.15) | 71.16% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Queen's Park | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 24.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |