Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Queen's Park |
57.94% ( 0.15) | 21.96% ( -0.22) | 20.1% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 55.26% ( 0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.9% ( 1.05) | 43.1% ( -1.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.5% ( 1.03) | 65.5% ( -1.03) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.4% ( 0.4) | 14.61% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.3% ( 0.77) | 42.7% ( -0.77) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.71% ( 0.68) | 35.29% ( -0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.96% ( 0.7) | 72.05% ( -0.7) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Queen's Park |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.83% Total : 57.94% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 20.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |