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FA Cup
FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Spencer Stadium

Banbury
2 - 3
Melksham

Henry (11'), Ofosu (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Andrews (38'), Cooper (55', 87')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying Replays clash between Banbury United and Melksham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Banbury United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Melksham 1-1 Banbury
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup

Melksham Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Melksham 1-1 Banbury
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for Melksham Town had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Melksham Town win was 0-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Banbury UnitedDrawMelksham Town
50.83% (-0.553 -0.55) 23.79% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 25.38% (0.474 0.47)
Both teams to score 56.09% (0.215 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.74% (0.061 0.06)45.26% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.4% (0.056000000000004 0.06)67.6% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Banbury United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (-0.18499999999999 -0.18)17.85% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.39% (-0.323 -0.32)48.61% (0.323 0.32)
Melksham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28% (0.417 0.42)31.72% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (0.478 0.48)68.14% (-0.47799999999999 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Banbury United 50.83%
    Melksham Town 25.38%
    Draw 23.79%
Banbury UnitedDrawMelksham Town
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.41% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 50.83%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.66% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.79%
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.73% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 25.38%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Second Round Qualifying
Melksham
1-1
Banbury
rhs 2.0
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