Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melksham Town win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Bideford had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melksham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Bideford win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melksham Town would win this match.