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Queen's Park
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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Old Stadium, Phnom Penh
Ayr United

Hamilton
0 - 2
Ayr


Martin (16'), Maguire (68'), O'Hara (79')
Martin (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stanger (18'), Dowds (72')
Musonda (55')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Hamilton Academical and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-1 Hamilton (0-0 pen.)
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Ayr 3-2 Buckie Thistle
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawAyr United
40.03% (-0.526 -0.53) 24.27% (-0.177 -0.18) 35.7% (0.705 0.7)
Both teams to score 60.31% (0.78100000000001 0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.7% (0.962 0.96)42.3% (-0.96100000000001 -0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.29% (0.955 0.95)64.71% (-0.95399999999999 -0.95)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (0.164 0.16)21.23% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.86% (0.252 0.25)54.14% (-0.252 -0.25)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (0.833 0.83)23.43% (-0.833 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57% (1.195 1.2)57.43% (-1.195 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 40.03%
    Ayr United 35.7%
    Draw 24.26%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawAyr United
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.296 -0.3)
2-0 @ 5.97% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.068 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 40.03%
1-1 @ 11.18% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.29% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.98% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.26%
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.09 0.09)
0-1 @ 7.22% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.137 0.14)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.12 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.083 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.069 0.07)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 35.7%

Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Hamilton
0-2
Ayr
Dempsey (12' pen.), Ashford (27')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Ayr
1-0
Hamilton
Mullin (32')
Nov 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Hamilton
2-3
Ayr
Lawson (50' pen.), Ecrepont (80' og.)
Akinyemi (4', 69'), Dempsey (83' pen.)
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Ayr
2-2
Hamilton
Akinyemi (3'), Murdoch (85')
Murdoch (66')
Winter (14'), O'Reilly (73')
O'Reilly (68')
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Ayr
1-1
Hamilton
McInroy (90+4')
McGinty (61'), Bryden (61')
Winter (6')
Moyo (61'), O'Reilly (71'), Lawson (76'), Ryan (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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