EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Goodison Park
Everton1 - 1Southampton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-2 Everton
Saturday, September 14 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 14 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 0-3 Man Utd
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Premier League
We said: Everton 1-1 Southampton (Southampton win on pens)
Nothing seems to be going right for Everton, even when things look like they are improving, as their two recent collapses show, and another defeat here will be hugely demoralising for the home support. In a game where both sides could make many personnel changes, there could be little to separate the two in a scrappy encounter, which may go all the way to the dreaded spot kicks. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Everton had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Everton win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%).
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Southampton |
32.03% ( -1.1) | 24.6% ( -0.11) | 43.36% ( 1.21) |
| Both teams to score 58.03% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
