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Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Southampton logo

Brentford
3 - 1
Southampton

Mbeumo (43', 65'), Wissa (69')
Mbeumo (29'), Pinnock (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sugawara (90+4')
Harwood-Bellis (20')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Southampton.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Brentford
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Cardiff 3-5 Southampton
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawSouthampton
29.48% (0.121 0.12) 23.28%47.24% (-0.115 -0.12)
Both teams to score 61.33% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.11% (0.077999999999996 0.08)39.89% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.75% (0.079000000000001 0.08)62.25% (-0.073 -0.07)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05% (0.122 0.12)25.95% (-0.115 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.04% (0.158 0.16)60.96% (-0.151 -0.15)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)17.17% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.57% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)47.43% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 29.48%
    Southampton 47.24%
    Draw 23.27%
BrentfordDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 7.14% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.01%
2-0 @ 4.06% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.21% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.82% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 29.48%
1-1 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 6.29% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.92% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.7% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.79% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 47.24%

How you voted: Brentford vs Southampton

Brentford
74.7%
Draw
17.7%
Southampton
7.5%
186
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Southampton
0-2
Brentford
Toney (32'), Wissa (90+7')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Brentford
3-0
Southampton
Mee (41'), Mbeumo (44'), Jensen (80')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Brentford
3-0
Southampton
Jansson (13'), Wissa (14'), Ajer (79')

Diallo (17')
Jan 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Southampton
4-1
Brentford
Bednarek (5'), Fernandez (37' og.), Broja (49'), Adams (70')
Janelt (23')
Toney (45+2')
Sep 16, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Southampton
0-2
Brentford

McCarthy (8')
Norgaard (40'), Dasilva (45+1')
Thompson (12'), Dalsgaard (52'), Goode (58')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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