MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 09:21:46| >> :600:731770:731770:
Colchester United
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Brentford logo

Colchester
0 - 1
Brentford


Ihionvien (71'), Tovide (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Colchester United and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Harrogate
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Brentford
Sunday, August 25 at 4.30pm in Premier League

We said: Colchester United 0-2 Brentford

The visitors will be strong favourites for a victory owing to them competing in the top division of English football while the hosts are in the fourth division, suggesting a comfortable win for Brentford. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawBrentford
36.25% (-0.551 -0.55) 24.25% (-0.125 -0.13) 39.5% (0.672 0.67)
Both teams to score 60.44% (0.402 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.83% (0.542 0.54)42.17% (-0.544 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.42% (0.54199999999999 0.54)64.58% (-0.54400000000001 -0.54)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)23.08% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.08% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)56.92% (0.064 0.06)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57% (0.565 0.56)21.43% (-0.567 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.56% (0.864 0.86)54.44% (-0.866 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 36.25%
    Brentford 39.5%
    Draw 24.25%
Colchester UnitedDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 7.25% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-0 @ 5.32% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.25%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.074 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.87% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.42% (0.112 0.11)
2-3 @ 3.24% (0.078 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.01% (0.08 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.072 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.051 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 39.5%

How you voted: Colchester vs Brentford

Colchester United
12.2%
Draw
8.9%
Brentford
78.9%
90
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Colchester
0-2
Brentford

Dallison (46'), Kazeem (58')
Lewis-Potter (39'), Bech Sorensen (90+1')
Onyeka (32')
Apr 26, 2014 3pm
Colchester
4-1
Brentford
Bean (29'), Wynter (32'), Sears (41' pen., 65')
Sears (62'), Gilbey (76')
Dallas (45')
Saville (70')
Oct 19, 2013 3pm
Dec 26, 2012 3pm
Colchester
1-3
Brentford
Wright (23')
Potts (79')
Thompson (10')
Dean (85'), Forshaw (12'), Trotta (4')
Douglas (18'), Adeyemi (34'), Lee (78')
Adeyemi (45')
Sep 8, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
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