EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

JobServe Community Stadium

Colchester
0 - 2
Brentford

Dallison (46'), Kazeem (58')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lewis-Potter (39'), Bech Sorensen (90+1')
Onyeka (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Colchester United and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

Last Six:

Last Game: Colchester 1-3 Leyton Orient
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Tranmere Rovers	5	0	4
18	Colchester United	5	-3	4
19	Newport County	5	-3	4

Brentford

Last Six:

Last Game: Fulham 3-2 Brentford
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Fulham	3	1	5
8	Brentford	3	3	4
9	Crystal Palace	3	0	4

We said: Colchester United 1-2 Brentford

Should Brentford heavily rotate, Colchester will fancy their chances of causing another upset in this competition. However, the Bees have added to their squad well this summer and should have the firepower to edge past their League Two opponents, especially with Frank likely to have quality options to call upon from the substitutes' bench if required. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 52.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Colchester United	Draw	Brentford
23.63% ( -0.05)	23.73% ( 0.01)	52.63% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 54.37% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.36% (

-0.1)

46.64% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.09% (

-0.09)

68.91% (

0.1)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.05% (

-0.11)

33.94% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.38% (

-0.11)

70.62% (

0.12)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.31% (

-0.02)

17.69% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.67% (

-0.03)

48.33% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Colchester United 23.63%

Brentford 52.63%

Draw 23.72%

Colchester United	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 23.63%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.72%	0-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.73% 0-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.62% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.25% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.63% Total : 52.63%