Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 50.32%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.