Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 51.9%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-0 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.