Scottish Championship Playoffs | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg

May 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Excelsior Stadium

Airdrieonians
6 - 2
Falkirk

(Airdrieonians win 7-2 on aggregate)

Devenny (8'), McCabe (14', 90+5' pen.), Smith (16'), Taylor-Sinclair (31'), Fordyce (41')
Hutton (83')
Rae (65')

FT(HT: 5-0)

Donaldson (61'), Kennedy (68')
Donaldson (38')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship Playoffs Semi-Finals clash between Airdrieonians and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions

Last Game: Edinburgh 1-4 Airdrieonians
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Falkirk

All competitions

Last Game: Peterhead 1-3 Falkirk
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
Airdrieonians	Draw	Falkirk
40.69%	23.87%	35.43%

Both teams to score 61.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.54%

40.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.16%

62.83%

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.86%

20.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.59%

52.4%

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.27%

22.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.59%

56.4%

Score Analysis

Airdrieonians 40.69%

Falkirk 35.43%

Draw 23.87%

Airdrieonians	Draw	Falkirk
2-1 @ 8.71% 1-0 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 5.88% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.03% Total : 40.69%	1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 6.45% 0-0 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.87%	1-2 @ 8.05% 0-1 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 5.02% 1-3 @ 3.98% 2-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.43%