Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.67%) and 1-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
