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Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Crawley Town

Stevenage
3 - 1
Crawley

Roberts (10'), Piergianni (40', 83')
Gilbey (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Telford (89' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Stevenage
Tuesday, December 27 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Sutton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Crawley Town

Stevenage have won nine of their 11 home games this term, and we think that they will record another victory when they face a Crawley side who are still searching for their first away win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 11.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawCrawley Town
69.08% (0.12599999999999 0.13) 19.12% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07) 11.79% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 45.31% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.54% (0.143 0.14)46.46% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.26% (0.135 0.13)68.73% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.66% (0.076999999999998 0.08)12.33% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.86% (0.16 0.16)38.14% (-0.159 -0.16)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.68% (-0.012 -0.01)48.31% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.54% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)83.46% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 69.07%
    Crawley Town 11.79%
    Draw 19.12%
StevenageDrawCrawley Town
2-0 @ 13.04%
1-0 @ 12.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 9.1% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.62% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.76% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.47% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.99% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.45% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 69.07%
1-1 @ 9.07% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 19.12%
0-1 @ 4.33% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 11.79%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Crawley

Stevenage
88.9%
Draw
7.4%
Crawley Town
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Crawley
1-2
Stevenage
Nadesan (47')
Craig (14')
Roberts (24'), Norris (85' pen.)
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Crawley
2-2
Stevenage
Nichols (34', 46')
Tilley (61')
Read (80'), Cuthbert (90+2')
Clements (37')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Stevenage
2-1
Crawley
Taylor (29'), Norris (73')
Nichols (45+1')
Tilley (68'), Frost (77')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Stevenage
3-3
Crawley
Norris (21' pen., 74'), Read (81')
Prosser (53')
Francomb (24'), Vancooten (80' og.), Powell (90+2')
McNerney (77')
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
Crawley
0-1
Stevenage

Craig (27'), Nichols (60'), Dallison (81')
Osborne (83')
Norris (37'), Pett (47'), Prosser (60'), Wildin (69'), Lines (73'), Coker (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BarrowBarrow7511113816
2Gillingham7511102816
3Walsall7502114715
4Notts County7421147714
5AFC Wimbledon641194513
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster7412119213
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe741277013
8Bradford CityBradford732297211
9Port Vale73221110111
10Chesterfield723210649
11Colchester UnitedColchester7232121029
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood62318719
13Salford City723246-29
14Grimsby Town7304912-39
15Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
16Newport CountyNewport73041015-59
17Bromley7214911-27
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham7214911-27
19MK Dons721469-37
20Harrogate TownHarrogate7214610-47
21Swindon TownSwindon7133710-36
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle7205814-66
23Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
24Morecambe7025510-52


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