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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.36%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Newport County |
35.36% | 28.27% | 36.36% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 46.98% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.74% ( 0) | 59.26% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.33% ( 0) | 79.67% ( -0) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.22% ( 0) | 31.78% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.79% ( 0) | 68.21% ( -0) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.86% ( 0) | 31.14% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.53% ( 0.01) | 67.47% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 7.59% 2-0 @ 6.5% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.36% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.27% | 0-1 @ 11.54% 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |